Tuesday

keeping the dream alive

Two certainties this week. Someone, possibly many people will tip Adam Scott, Jim Furyk and Sergio to win at Medinah. Many will remember Sergio's epic battle with Tiger seven years ago. I wonder if they remember who won?

Tiger will win again this week. Medinah might be long but the word from the course is that most of the length is in the par fives. And with the average driving distance these days pushing 290, even the longest par fours are nought but a smooth 6 iron away for most of the field. 2 putts, par. Simple really.

We're putting all our time into Betfair's excellent "betting without the top five" market which means no ernie, vijay, tiger, furyk and good old phil, the man who puts the "big" in big five. We're betting as if these guys haven't turned up. Bit like really fancy each way odds...

Here's our top picks:

Rod Pampling is currently 70/1. Bang in form with a string of good finishes, he's one of the first names on our team sheet.

David Howell has had a quiet few weeks after blazing good form saw him win the prestigious PGA championship at Wentworth. He's been in the USA acclimatizing and whilst down the field at the end of the Mickey Mouse Invitational stableford nonsense last week he did shoot plus 12 (whatever that means) in the final round. Howler is 50/1 without the big five, 80/1 without Woods. For the current clear leader of the European tour money list, that's a silly price and almost 50% better than what they'll offer on Monty. Very confident he'll be grinding it out come Sunday.

Can't get away from Nathan Green. Still can't see him actually winning in his rookie year, but he only has to beat everybody but the top five and Betfair will give you 150/1.

I'm also interested in the double figure odds on the following usual suspects to finish in the top ten. JB, Fred, Broadhurst, Ferrie and Senden. And I can't miss the 46/1 about Dougherty to finish in the top 10. He's won on tour and...well what would you rather have...46/1 Nicky D to finish in the top ten or Adam Scott to win with the TAB at 25/1?

SportsBet of the week: TAB treble on Little Stranger at the Gold Coast races, Saturday, Tiger Woods and the All Blacks ht/ft double. Then take your winnings to Warwick Farm next Wednesday. I know I will be. Pip Pip!