Return on Investment

It's gambling I know but given the way that the so called market makers have trashed all of our savings in the last few years, serious punters should consider hauling a truck load of money out to randwick on Saturday. DENMAN is $1.60 in a five horse race. He should be $1.05 maxiumum. Help yourself

For the less brave amongst us, I have another bet of the week to follow my successful tip on Irish Lights last week (hey! one in a row!).

Lee Freedman takes another of those pommie horses to Randwick. He's won two from two and is entered in the Cox and the Epsom. As Purple is in the race, he's got in with the minimum weight. (No rain is forecast, so purple, like Adam Scott, can't win.) As if that's not enough, stable jockey Dwayne Dunn is making the trip to ride. The smarties have taken the $7 that Centrebet put up and he's $5.50 now. Put last week's winnings on, take each way if you wish.

What?. Oh yes...he's called SOUND OF NATURE

Jockeying for position

Races are hard enough to win without dropping the horse out last and making them overtake the field. So why (oh why) do professional jockeys make it so hard? Both Neroli and Trusting should have won today. Raffaelo too. Great to see my prediction on Irish Lights come true (boy she's good) but half an hour before Speedy's race can I plea that Dunn doesn't take her to the back of the field on the worst race track in the country?

Location, location, location

Four of the best horses in training go to Caulfield tomorrow. Reckon only one of them will win.

Our favourite horse, Speed Gifted is first emergency for the Naturalism. Despite not actually being in the race, the bookies have him at $2.60. That's how good he is. But he might not get a run. Bring on the Metrop when we'll hopefully see our double come up with Irish Lights.

The Coolmore horse could be anything and at $4 tomorrow, he's the bet of the day.

I'm really confident that in a few months time, barring injury, we'll be hailing Trusting as one of the finds of the season. But he's racing at Caulfield tomorrow and it's a leaders track. Let's hope he runs a shocker and we can pile into him when he runs at either Flemington or Randwick at double figure odds.

Finally, Neroli returns tomorrow. Unless it sluices down overnight, she can't win. Elsewhere look out for Hume and Funtantes, both bringing great Qld form to town.

The bet of the day is IRISH LIGHTS.

Spring Racing Carnival

Hotting up by the week, the greatest racing season in the world is almost here. Can't remember a year when I've fancied so many horses so strongly.

Toppermost still is SPEED GIFTED. He won oh so easily at Flemington again last week and I just reckon he might be another Pebbles, another Dawn Run, dare I say it, even another Desert Orchid. All the value has gone for the cups of course but he has to win either the Metropolitan or one of the Cups. As McCririck would say, Get ON!

I've also taken some ludicrous prices about the Godolphin horses including 600/1 about Crime Scene and 100/1 about Kirklees at the Valley. Speaking of which, 100/1 about DENMAN in the Cox Plate seems great shopping.

My other big tip of the year is Coolmore's IRISH LIGHTS. Very few horses not called Speed Gifted have ever won so easily ay Flemington and again he could be anything. Take the 12/1 in the Guineas into Speedy in the Metropolitan. We have...