Monday

The Gambler


On a day when shooting par sees your picks tumble down the leaderboard faster than a very fast tumbling thing, it's time to regroup. (Yeah...see you Charlie, all the best, it's been good) We missed Villegas yesterday at, yes, 100/1. Ouch. And Weir, Singh, Sergio and even the Big Easy are still in contention so it looks like the bookies will be in clover come end of play tomorrow.

Except. And this is really one for the gamblers. Say Weir and Villegas shoot a couple over tomorrow. Suddenly, the pack are closer and what if one of the guys on 10 or even 9 under overnight go out and shoot a 61 or 62. Sure it's unlikely, but in echoes of previous advice, would you rather have twenty bucks on one of the leaders at 6/1 or worse or a couple of smaller bets on possible winners at ludicrous prices?

Hopefully it's the latter, in which case, let me suggest we start with a guy who's already won and had two seconds on tour this year and who ranks 5th in posting the best final rounds this season. Sitting "just off" the lead at 11 under, ladies and gentlemen, from Japan, Mr Ryuchi Imada. He's a staggering 280/1 on Betfair. I just took the 300's. Briny Baird (crazy name, crazy guy) wouldn't normally tip the needle for me, but he's close to the leaders on 12 under and 120/1. Finally, you can now get 1000/1 on Charlie Wi. I know, just can't resist it and hey! after VJ's win it's their money we're playing with.

So team, small stakes are the go for a bit of fun. Which is more than Monty, Darren Clarke and Paul McGinley will be having this weekend after Faldo picked the local boy. Brave or myopically dumb? We'll find out for sure in a week or two....

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